Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2950.418794 3172.124601 3394.294683 3633.312902 3882.866907 4135.425411 4410.031824
2025-11-23 2553.601555 2885.380925 3228.037935 3607.173981 4013.742508 4435.519169 4905.016985
2025-11-30 2351.922173 2755.974310 3182.451552 3663.714079 4189.310915 4743.649202 5370.238804
2025-12-07 2169.803385 2625.139057 3114.906409 3676.910940 4300.097843 4966.307778 5728.704627
2025-12-14 2001.818412 2494.878088 3034.503372 3663.129057 4369.656483 5133.929801 6017.902191
2025-12-21 1825.700716 2343.210390 2919.299680 3600.211806 4375.346020 5223.132544 6213.374507
2025-12-28 1779.449322 2336.045744 2963.723242 3713.735639 4575.651574 5525.998452 6643.965459
2026-01-04 1702.735453 2287.732340 2956.185175 3763.700421 4700.456249 5741.552211 6974.801905
2026-01-11 1609.160119 2214.014674 2914.484626 3770.016822 4771.771128 5893.827284 7232.003724
2026-01-18 1522.398323 2143.936781 2873.153637 3773.209206 4836.445706 6036.121574 7475.911441
2026-01-25 1449.802379 2087.508805 2844.962265 3789.098721 4913.554040 6190.851621 7732.615181
2026-02-01 1367.041172 2014.561645 2793.560901 3774.378996 4952.241555 6299.275019 7934.557258
2026-02-08 1308.935781 1971.394019 2777.897984 3802.791719 5042.906744 6469.815022 8210.995451
2026-02-15 1228.424707 1896.209495 2720.104289 3777.882447 5068.416040 6563.223160 8397.418445
2026-02-22 1192.800901 1877.524007 2731.230820 3836.064153 5192.634841 6771.937294 8718.025651
2026-03-01 1139.296653 1832.813359 2707.599020 3849.657375 5261.694886 6914.617340 8960.697795
2026-03-08 1076.905582 1773.526855 2663.201434 3835.463135 5295.391472 7014.137936 9151.699061
2026-03-15 996.759952 1686.724218 2580.545707 3770.656428 5264.930567 7035.314522 9248.561104
2026-03-22 996.815560 1710.344919 2641.389933 3887.580995 5458.617694 7325.799308 9666.030668
2026-03-29 970.535348 1695.904846 2651.387554 3939.030617 5570.837088 7518.084868 9966.670000
2026-04-05 927.933574 1656.653384 2627.214028 3945.534220 5626.291709 7641.225540 10184.381725
2026-04-12 886.383924 1617.210216 2601.430947 3948.821175 5676.850994 7757.840977 10393.934655
2026-04-19 851.880727 1586.583945 2586.405694 3965.180971 5743.179743 7893.264150 10625.963541